The set-up: The Rangers and Rockies complete their four-game, home-and-home IL series this afternoon in Texas. The Rangers have won the first three games with each win coming in their last at-bat. The most recent victory was a 5-4, come-from-behind victory Wednesday, when Adrian Beltre's two-run, eighth-inning single was the game-winner. Texas has now won five in a row and the Rangers have scored the winning run after the seventh inning in all five games. Texas is 26-8 in one-run games this season plus owns a major-league-best 36 come-from-behind victories. Texas is solidifying its AL West lead (currently seven games over second-place Seattle), while the 55-59 Rockies have just about ‘kissed' any 2016 playoff hopes goodbye!

The pitching matchup: Chad Bettis (10-6, 5.13 ERA) takes the mound for Colorado in this one, opposed by Lucas Harrell (3-2, 3.46 ERA), who Texas recently acquired from the Braves. The Rockies are 14-9 (plus-$699) in Bettis' starts this season, including winning eight of his last 10. However, while Colorado is 8-2 this season when Bettis starts at Coors Field, the Rockies are a much more modest 6-7 in his road starts. I'm not quite sure what to make of Harrell just yet, he lasted only 3 2/3 innings at Houston on Saturday in his second start for Texas after being acquired from Atlanta. He took a no decision in that game, as he allowed just one run, despite yielding five hits and five walks. His Texas debut saw him allow three runs on four hits (including two HRs) over six innings against Kansas City on July 31.

The pick: I'm looking past the starting pithing matchup in this one, as it does slightly favor Colorado. However, the acquisitions of Beltran and Lucroy have made an already potent Texas lineup even more ‘lethal.' The numbers don't lie. At plus-$2690 on the season, Texas' moneyline mark is a MLB-best, more than double that of the Tigers, who at plus-$197 rank second. Texas is an 8* play.