Rogers' ESPN SHOWCASE - 9-2 (81%) Last Year in NFLX!
(NFL) Dallas vs. Los Angeles,
Total: 35.50 | -115.00 Over
Result: Loss
The set-up: The Rams left LA after the 1994 season for St. Louis but return to Southern California in 2016. This makes the team's first appearance as the home team in LA, since. The opponent will be the Dallas Cowboys, once known as ‘America's Team." Dallas was at one time but the team has missed the postseason 12 times in the 20 years since it's last Super Bowl win (to cap the 1995 season). It's taken 22 years but Jerry Jones has finally admitted he let his ego play a role in the end of the Dallas Cowboys' glory days. Jones and former coach Jimmy Johnson ended their relationship after consecutive Super Bowl wins in 1992 and 1993. Neither man had accepted responsibility for the demise of their relationship. "I lost my tolerance for a lot of things," Jones recently told KTCK-AM 1310. "I probably should have had a little more tolerance with Jimmy Johnson. Seriously." Barry Switzer replaced Johnson and took the Cowboys to the NFC Championship Game in 1994 and a Super Bowl in 1995. They won another division title in 1996 but Switzer resigned after the 1997 season. Since then, Jones has hired five coaches who have delivered just two playoff wins.

The game: The NFL returning to LA is a big deal but while the fans should be excited, don't expect much from either team. QB Tony Romo is coming off another injury-plagued season and he'll see limited action. Also, backup QB Kellen Moore has been lost to a season-ending ankle injury, leaving Dallas with rookie Dak Prescott (Ole Miss) and second-year player Jameill Showers (UTEP). LA's QB position is no better, with top-pick Jared Goff likely to see limited action. He's backed up by the brutal Case Keenum and inexperienced QBs Mannion and Thompson.

The pick: Jason Garrett owns one of the NFL's worst ATS preseason record (6-15), so I want no part of Dallas. However, the under is a safer play. Make it an 8* play .