The set-up: The Blue Jays and Indians play the rubber match of their three-games series on Sunday afternoon, after splitting a pair of one-run contests (Indians won 3-2 on Friday and the Jays 6-5 on Saturday). The 70-51 Indians and 70-53 Blue Jays both lead their respective divisions but while Cleveland owns a seven-game lead in the AL Central, Toronto leads the AL East by just a half-game over the Red Sox and 2 1/2 over the Orioles. Sunday's game will be the finale of Cleveland's longest homestand of the season, an 11-game stretch in which the Indians have so far gone 7-3 against against the Angels, Red Sox, White Sox and Blue Jays. Cleveland is 38-23 on the season at Progressive Field, averaging 5.82 RPG.

The pitching matchup: Marcus Stroman (9-5, 4.63 ERA) takes the mound for Toronto and Corey Kluber (13-8, 3.15 ERA) for Cleveland. Stroman enters this contest 3-1 with a 3.27 ERA in his last eight starts (team is a modest 4-4), after allowing one ER on five hits in 6 1/3 innings of a 9-2 triumph over Houston last Sunday. Stroman's only made two career appearances vs. the Indians, the most recent being that epic 19-inning game won by the Indians 2-1 back on July 1. Stroman pitched 6 2/3 innings, allowing one run on five hits with six strikeouts and one walk in that one. Kluber comes into Sunday's start on quite a roll, having not lost a game since July 3. He may want to forget that one, which was a 17-1 loss to Toronto in which he gave up five runs in just 3 1/3 innings.

The pick: That effort vs. Toronto makes Kluber 1-3 with a 6.14 ERA in four starts versus the Blue Jays but since that July 3 outing, he's 5-0 with a 1.65 ERA in seven starts (team did lose both of his no decisions). The above all being noted, Kluber is coming down the stretch of a terrific "bounce-back" year, after he fell from winning the Cy Young award in 2014 to going 9-16 in 2015 with the worst moneyline mark (11-21, minus-$1747) among all starters. In Kluber we will trust, making the Indians an 8* play.