The set-up: The Tampa Bay Bucs are 1-1 after two weeks, losing 17-9 at Philadelphia in Week 1 and then winning 27-21 at Jacksonville last Saturday. The Cleveland Browns are still looking for the first win of NFLX 2016, losing 17-11 at Green Bay in Week 1 and then 23-14 at home to Atlanta in Week 2. New head coach Hue Jackson would love to get a win here but also faces first-time head coach Dirk Koetter of Tampa Bay, who makes his home debut.

The pick: The Browns have struggled offensively when their starters have been on the bench and enter this contest having totaled just six second half points in their two preseason games so far. FYI... That TD touchdown came on a one-play, 10-yard drive that followed a Green Bay turnover in Week 1. Jackson may also be concerned about his defense, after allowing Atlanta 498 yards on 31 FDs last week. As for Tampa Bay, the Bucs own the worst regular season home ATS record over the last eight years and a check of the team's home preseason record reveals a 4-8 SU mark since 2010. Trusting Tampa Bay has been dangerous to one's bankroll. The Bucs coughed up five turnovers at Philadelphia in Week 1, then made two more at Jacksonville but were bailed out by four INTs against Jacksonville's three back-up QBs. Just can't see laying points with the inept Bucs. 8* play on Cleveland.