The 5-5 Marlins have been tough against the Nationals in Miami for some time, have won two straight against the Nats, and are a surprisingly big favorite today. The Nationals have struggled lately at just 3-7. Right handed veteran Sanchez starts for Washington. While his record may not show it, he has pitched well lately, with an ERA of 2.10 over his last 7 games. He faced Miami in his last start, giving up just 2 runs over 6 innings, and has a road ERA of 2 runs less this season.

He faces another right-hander, Miami's Cabrera. Cabrera is 6-3 for the season, but has not been quite as sharp, with a worse ERA than Sanchez's at 3.49 L7. He hasn't pitched past the fifth lately and has also given up 5 home runs in his last 4 starts.

Both teams have been getting very good relief pitching; the Nationals pen has oddly been better than Maimi's. The Marlins have been hitting better just lately, but are generally a poor bet against a righty. The odds seem very high for weak team like Miami. The Nationals took two of three from the Marlins in their home series. Take Washington on the run line today at + 1 1/2.