Based on past results, a win should be in cards for the Chiefs today. Kansas City's offense is a different beast this year; equally competent, but much more time-consuming, with more short targets for Mahomes, and a well developed running game. The Chiefs have been great in the red zone, and with the exception of last week, Mahomes has had solid protection. Even against that tough Buccaneers pass offense, Mahomes was a wizard in avoidance, and had great success. At home at Arrowhead, and against another AFC West opponent, I like their chances. On defense, they have been great against the run, which is important against a Raiders' team who are having good success on the ground. The KC pass defense has given up yards, a ton of them facing Brady last week, but they have managed solid passer pressure, and are 7th in sacks, against a Raiders' O-line with mixed success.
Carr has not flourished this year for the Raiders with an 83.4 average passer rating. Running back Josh Jacobs has been a bit of a revelation, especially last week. As noted, the Chiefs have been dominant against the run, and against a high-scoring Chiefs offense, the Raiders may not have the same opportunity to run so consistently. On defense, the Raiders haven't been big on QB pressure, with just 5 sacks, and are very poor to date defending in the red zone. They are also the second most penalized team at the moment.
I like the Chiefs chances today. Look for another big game from Mahomes et al, and watch them win and cover.