If the Padres had success against the Mets this year, they haven't against the Dodgers. Nor are they great against left-handers. No one has had much success against Urias lately. He is 4-0 with an ERA of 1.52 in his last 7 starts. The entire pitching staff will be well rested, so post-Urias (he pitches usually for 5 or 6 innings), that killer LA bullpen should be ready to go. The Padres' right-hander Clevinger has had mixed results of late; 4 of his last 6 starts are of the poor variety, allowing more than a run an inning in those appearances. He was roughed up by the Dodgers twice in September. He gave up 7 home runs last month, and has an ERA nearly double on the road.
The Dodgers have had the best offense in the league this year, but they've struggled with the bats lately. The Padres are actually outhitting them at the moment, however I expect the Dodgers to show their offensive stuff for the third straight time vs the Padres.
I suspect LA is on a mission this year, starting tomorrow. The Dodgers are a large favorite, but this is the one game I feel safe in going on the run line. Take the Dodgers -1 1/2.