The Colts are on the road and facing an improved Commanders team off a big win last week. Neither team puts many points on the board, and neither team gives up many against. Both defenses are top ten in applying pressure on passers, and almost equally bad in protecting their own QBs. The Commanders have a pair of accomplished and complementary RBs, and are using them more each week. The Colts have a recovering Jonathon Taylor, who has been seriously under-used when playing to date. For whatever reason, the Colts are in the cellar in rushing categories, but that may change this week. With a young QB who has yet to throw a pass in the NFL, the run game will likely be a huge part of the Colts offense on Sunday.
Heinicke was effective against the Packers last week, and seemed in synch with the Commanders top targets. Ehlinger is a huge unknown this week. The Colts are throwing him out there with no experience, not necessarily a recipe for success.
With a much improved defense, and an effective run game that matches up well against a Colts' defense that can be run on , and as a 3 point underdog, I like the Commanders' chances again this week. Take the Commanders to win or stay close on Sunday.