So far this season the Cowboys' success is largely defense-driven. That may change with Prescott back, but against a very tough Bears defense, I don't see Dallas as a huge scoring threat this week. For the Bears, their limited success is all about gaining on the ground and limiting the opposition's pass offense. The Bears have the most rushing yards in the league; their pair of running backs and a mobile QB in Fields put up a mighty 240 plus yards against the Patriots last week. The Cowboys can also run the football, but will likely miss key performer Elliott to injury this week.
The Cowboys managed 24 points last week against a weak Lions Defense. Their pass attack has been poor, but should improve as Prescott gets some reps. Dallas has been very good at protecting their passer. Not so the Bears. Fields has been sacked or pressured the most in the league, part of the explanation for the Bears' woeful pass offense.
Both teams are very tough to score on, 2nd (Dallas) and 6th in the league. The Bears' defense has improved over their last few games, and it is almost a toss-up as to which defense is better. There is one huge caveat however, and that is passer pressure. The Cowboys are tops in the league in sacks while the Bears don't really force passers much at all.
The Cowboys are 10 point favorites, and even with Prescott back I don't think Dallas will move the ball as easily as that line would suggest. Look for the Bears' defense to slow the game down. Their offense has been very good at staying on the field (62% last week), if not necessarily scoring points. By necessity, this game should be run-first from both sides. Watch the Bears keep this one close enough to cover.