The Bengals offense is sizzling, showing huge improvement in their recent games. They put up mammoth yards last week, and are top eight in points and Red zone offense, and top 2 in possession time and 3rd down conversions. While they are running more successfully and getting more points from the rush offense, It is their passing game, as expected that is carrying the team. Burrows has been a standout and isn't even sacked as often lately. In fact, using sack %, the Browns' QB Brissett has been sacked just as often in recent games.
The Browns' offense has slipped lately, down in some important categories including rush yards, 3re down conversion and sacks, 5 last week and 3 a game L3. Jacoby Brissett had a very good game even with the sacks last week, but by and large he has been average or worse, with an average QB rating of 76 L3 games.
The Bengals' defense has been solid lately,terrific in the red zone, 2nd in time of possession, and 6th in points allowed,; all told they are a considerably better defense that their opponent. Their rush defense is just middle of the pack, allowing Chubb some room to move, but the Browns won't keep up with the Bengals' high-powered offense by running the ball. The Bengals are tough to move against in the air, and while they don't pressure passers at an elite level, they are much better at it than the Browns. Imagine Burrow with time to play!
I am on the Bengals under the lights, especially now that a 3 point line is available. Yes the Bengals will miss Chase, but the Browns are arguably the worse off in terms of week 8 injuries. Take the Bengals to win and cover.