The Penguins have won their last two games after a lengthy losing streak, but are on the wrong end a back to back, a situation they have not thrived in recently and in the long term. They are also struggling on the road to date in the season. Jarry likely starts, and after a very good start to the season, has not shown well lately, with an average save % of well under .900 . DeSmith played in both recent victories.

Underdogs and home teams have the advantage in recent meetings between these two teams, and the Canadiens are both on Saturday. Although they can be up and down, they have a better record than the Penguins, and have also won 2 straight. They are considerably better on defense and on the PK this year. Allen, the likely starter on Saturday has a .907 save %, and was very strong against the Sabres in his last game.

The Penguins are a surprisingly high road favorite on Saturday, and I am not sure that that line is justified. Take the underdog Habs to come through at home.