The Buccaneers tested the Seahawks defense in their European match-up, and the Seahawks, whose defense looked to be on the upswing after 4 straight wins, failed the exam. Tampa doesn't usually run much, but wound up with 161 rushing yards and a win. Fast forward to week 12. The Raiders have Josh Jacobs, a terrific and underutilized RB. What are the bets we see far more of him this week? Seattle can also run the ball and the Raiders' run defense isn't that much better than the Seahawks, but both these teams are pass-happy and normally rely on their strength in the air. Carr and Smith are both quality QBs with very similar stats. Smith is more accurate, Carr puts up a few more yards, and neither turns the ball over very often. Both have quality targets.
The Seahawks, however, defend the pass much better than the Raiders. Las Vegas has given up an average passer rating of 106 this season, and is worst in the league in sacks with 13. The Seahawks play a harder defensive game, have double the sacks and are very tough in takeaways.
The Seahawks are a well coached team, and had their bye week to sort out their defensive issues. Geno Smith will have more time than usual to operate. Week 12 is an important step for their play-off hopes. Considering their 3-7 opponent, a win is a must. I expect Seattle's defense to show up on Sunday and wear down the Raiders over the course of the game. Take Seattle to win and cover.