The 3-7 Sabres won last night but gave up 4 goals with their best available net minder in goal. Tonight's starter Luukkonen has played just 3 games this season, giving up more than 4 goals a game with a SV% of .845.
The 7-3 Avs were whipped by the Jets two nights ago, and won't be in a forgiving mood tonight. Their offense has been surprisingly quiet this season, but it will absolutely break out, and tonight might just be the night. Colorado has the league's top PP, against a Sabres team that is 28th on defense and 26th in the PK. Buffalo has multiple goal-tenders out with injuries. The Sabres can put the puck in the net, but face a very good Avalanche defense.
The Sabres are 1-6 in recent home games and 0-4 vs the Avs at home as well. Add playing on a back to back, with a 3rd or 4th line goalie, and you likely have an avalanche of sorts. Take Colorado to win. A multiple goal victory wouldn't surprise me.