The Cardinals put points on the board when they face mediocre defenses, but that hasn't guaranteed a win by any means. When they face a top defense, and there haven't been many lately, they struggle to score at all. It isn't as if Murray or the Cardinals' offense has excelled in any offensive areas. Murray has been average in passing yards for, and worst in the NFL in yards per attempt and completion. He might be more difficult against the Patriots as a rusher. The Patriots have struggled to contain running quarterbacks in the past. Wheels or not, I have confidence that New England will shut down Murray and the Cardinals offense.
Points have come at a premium as the Patriots have averaged just 15 per game in their last three starts, but that included both the Bills (4th ranked D) and the Jets (6th ranked D.). Against weaker defenses, the Patriots have but up 52 points total. I has been an exaggerated pattern all season. New England scores big against weak defenses, and not at all vs dominant ones.
The Cardinals are ineffective vs the pass, giving up the 30th ranked points and a passer rating of 107 in their last three games. They do blitz but have just 23 sacks to date. This is not really a meaningful game for Arizona, and much there is a sizable amount of distraction on the sidelines. The Patriots are still in a wild card position if they can reverse their fortunes this week. Watch the Patriots limit Murray and the Cardinals offense, while scoring enough points to win and cover.