Let's be honest: no one thinks that San Diego State has a shot in this game outright. The Aztecs are going to need Sean Lewis's defense to force a couple turnovers and have the offensive grind possessions to keep the ball away from Ashton Jeanty. Boise State should win this game, playing at home on the blue turf, but this has letdown spot written all over it after they beat UNLV last week. They should win by at least two scores but giving three-plus touchdowns is a big ask. Take the Aztecs and hope they can sneak in a backdoor cover after Jeanty goes to the bench for the night.