I have won and lost with Arkansas and I am not sure if I have finally figured them out or if they have fooled me again. Arkansas has gone winless in its true road games this season and has only covered the spread twice in their last eight games. Baylor has won 15 of its last 17 home games, and it is on a five-game winning streak covering all five games. The Razorbacks are 0-4 both ATS and straight up on the road this season. Baylor is 9-2 straight up at home and 6-5 ATS. I am looking for the Baylor defense to control the Razorbacks' offense. Arkansas does not shoot the ball from deep very well and they will find it even more difficult against Baylor. Take Baylor at home for the win.

Play on Baylor.