Minnesota's Pablo Lopez has been pitching well and in his last playoff start, he allowed one run in 5 ⅔ innings. The Twins bullpen is deep and talented and should be able to hold down the Astros' offense after Lopez. The total has finished under in three of the Twins' last four as well as in three of the Astros' last four. Minnesota had the sixth-best team ERA in baseball during the regular season at 3.87 while Houston was eighth-best at 3.94. The Twins rely on the long ball, which isn't always a great bet in the playoffs. Valdez worries me a bit in this one but I will take the UNDER anyways.

Play on the UNDER. This is a 3% play. postseason.