The Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies will meet for Game six of the National League Championship Series. Arizona is looking to keep alive in the series by sending Merrill Kelly to the mound. He is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 0.92 WHIP this postseason. Philadelphia is a win away from their second straight World Series appearance. They will look to punch their ticket by sending Aaron Nola to the mound. He is 3-0 with a 0.96 ERA and 0.75 WHIP this postseason. Kelly needs to get off to a strong start and keep the Phillies off the board early to keep the crowd out of it. He has held 20 of his 30 opponents to two or fewer runs this season. Nola has been dominant in the postseason. In his three starts, he has allowed just two runs, 11 hits, and two walks. The DBacks have averaged just 2.4 runs per game to Philadelphia’s 5.4 runs per game this series. Philadelphia owns a 5.7 run margin of victory in their three wins this series, all of them by two or more runs. I am looking for a big win by the Phillies.

Play on the Phillies minus 1.5 runs. This is a 5% play.