The defending Super Bowl Champions Kansas City Chiefs go on the road to take on the No. 1 seed Baltimore Ravens for the AFC Championship. This will be a duel between Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson. This will be the sixth straight AFC Championship game for Mahomes and the Chiefs. Kansas City relied on their defense this season sd their defense struggled this season. The Chiefs rank 2nd in the NFL for the fewest yards allowed and 2nd for scoring defense. Their run defense will be tested in this one. The Ravens have one of the best defenses in the NFL. They can get pressure with their front four and do a very good job of disguising coverages. Kansas City’s receivers have struggled at times with drops and they can ill afford to drop passes and get into third and long plays. The Ravens are 12-6 ATS this season. The Chiefs bring the experience of Mahomes and Reid, but they had a lot of inconsistency from their receiving room including the sure-handed Kelce. Baltimore finished the season as the 2nd best team against the spread. Baltimore allowed just 16.5 points per game and had the 6th best-passing defense in the league. It is hard to go against Mahomes but I can’t trust the Chiefs' receivers and Kelce will find it hard to get open over the middle with Queen and Smith dropping into coverage.

Play on Baltimore. This is a 3% play.