This is a must-win for both teams as they face uncertainty going into selection Sunday. The Minnesota Golden Gophers and the Michigan State Spartans are both 18-13 heading into this game. They split both games this season. Both teams struggled down the stretch going 1-4. Minnesota is putting up 75.7 points a game and is giving up 71.6 points. Michigan State is putting up 73.4 points a game and is giving up just 65.9 points a game. Michigan State is the better team and should win this game but this number is too high in my opinion. Minnesota has covered 24 of 31 this season and they are 8-2 ATS their last 10 games as a dog. They've also covered three straight in this series and four of their last five. Michigan State has failed to cover their last four games as a favorite. The Spartans should be better than they are and that is why I have no confidence in them covering this number.

Play on Minnesota. This is a 3% play