I am looking for a close game between Illinois and UCONN. UConn will not be able to impose their will in the paint as the Illini have the bigs that can not only match up but hold their own. Connecticut is a balanced team, but the best player on the floor will be Terrence Shannon Jr. for the Illini. He has scored 26 or more in every game in the Tournament. Both teams have covered their games so far but this will be the toughest matchup for UCONN. Illinois is 10th in KenPom, and they have the 2nd most efficient offense in the country. UCONN has won their games by an average margin of 18 points. Illinois will hold their own in the paint and Shannon will be able to score. I think this number is just too high in what I see as being a competitive game.
Play on Illinois. This is a 2% play.