I hate taking these big numbers, but the dolphins are just leagues better than the Giants, and this is a bounceback spot for Miami at home vs a poorus pass rush that only has 0 interceptions and only 4 sacks this season, allowing 27.5 points this season on average. I don't see how Tua doesn't force his will offensively through the air, nor do I see how The Giants offense puts up much of a fight offensively without Saquon (who has practiced this week in limited fashion). Even if Saquon were to play, Andrew Thomas, Lemeiux, and Schmitz are out on the offensive line for NY so there wouldn't be much room to run anyways. Speed kills and Miamis got alot of speed.

Official Play: Dolphins -12.5

Side Bet: Tyreek Hill anytime TD

Hail Mary: Tua over 287.5 passing yards