All of New Mexico States home games have gone over this total, and Sam Houston have been the better looking offense of the two sides, though they are the winless team in this match-up. I think the total is low, because of the record's of the two teams and the fact that New Mexico State have looked like a great defense vs poor offensive teams. If you examine the game these both played vs liberty, Sam Houston gave liberty a much more challenge than NMState did, showing to me that this could be a chance for Sam Houston to finally get a win, granted it will be tough on the road with NM State being 2-0 at home. The line is short for a reason (-3.5) because both teams really do have a chance to win this game and that clearly supports my bet on the OVER. I'll take a shootout.

Official Play: Over 41.5

Side Bet: Star Thomas Anytime TD

Hail Mary: Sam Houston Moneyline