KC at home after a loss is the main reason why I'm taking the chiefs here. Chiefs are 37-13 since 2020 and haven't had a back to back loss in that time frame. Bills have been a model of inconsistency and even though they NEED this win, it's going to be hard to earn on a road game at Arrowhead stadium. There are injuries to the chiefs that could benefit the bills, Isaiah Pacheco will miss this game and Clyde Edwards Hellaire will step in as the workhorse, but he and backup Jerrick McKinnon should be enough for the run game to have substance, and this pass defense of the Bills should be worried if they can't stop the Chiefs lowly recievers from making plays (bottom 5, pass-catching personel in the league). It's rare we get KC as such a close favorite, and it's been a fluctuating betting line over the week, but I love the fact that the chiefs best Linebacker will be returning (Nick Bolton) to help over the middle and in blitz packages to keep Josh Allen under wraps outside the pocket. Bills are 1-4 on the road, Chiefs have only lost to Philadelphia in a wild game, and to Detroit to open the season, it's just common sense to trust the chiefs to bounceback and continue their momentum, while possibly making things tougher for the Bills to make the playoffs (as they could be a dangerous opponent for KC if they met then). Don't forget the Bills lost @ New England during their terrible time of the season, allowing that anemic offense to score 29.

Official Play: Chiefs -1

Side Bet: Under 49

Hail Mary: Jerrick McKinnon Anytime TD