I'm on Missouri State -4.5 @ home vs UIC for these reasons:

- Missouri State returning home after losing last two games on the road and losing to Bradley at home before that. This is a game needed to avoid a 4 game skid, as well as keep themselves in good spirits heading into the Conference tournament coming up.

- UIC are 3-9 on the road and have not covered small spreads well this season overall.

- UIC turn the ball over more than Missouri State does, and MSU are much better defensively, holding teams to less chances at the free throw line, which will serve them well at home.

- UIC are 0-3 in their history against MSU. And have covered once (-13 point spread)

- Huge rebounding advantage for MSU here, and if they can contain the three point onslaught that UIC will bring, this will be an easy win for the Bears.

Official Play: MSU -4.5

Side Bet: Under 145