I'm on the Over 223 in the Pacers @ Clippers game for these reasons:

- Pace of Indiana is going to thrust the Clippers into a back and forth affair. The Pacers just played last night vs The Lakers and dropped 145 on them in a loss. That game hit 295.

- Clippers defense has been declining as the season progresses, and the last 3 opponents faced put up over 100 points on the Clippers (Injured 76ers, and Blazers back to back 115 and 125 points)

- Last time these teams met the total went over this number. Pacers didn't even have Siakam on their team yet.

- Clippers struggle against the deep ball like the Lakers do. But they are shooting the 3pt shot at a decent enough rate to contend with the Pacers who are one of the best shooting teams in the league. The rest between the Pacers game with the Laker and Clippers isn't enough to worry about Pacers having a good defensive output, which helps the over.

Official Play: Over 233

Side Bet: James Harden over 16.5 points

Hail Mary: Clippers -5.5