I'm on the over of 227.5 in this Rockets @ Jazz game, foe these reasons:

- Rockets are not looking like playoff contenders, but the window is still slightly open to make the play-in tournament. They should win this game, but I'm not laying all these points with them on the road.

- Jazz are allowing 123.2 points on average in the last 5 games. The Rockets defensively are superior, but they should also be very aggressive offensively in this matchup, with the Jazz players all being sat to end the season, and the Jazz are 29th in points allowed (120 points on average per game)

- We don't need 115 points from Utah to cash this bet. I see the Rockets putting up 120+ here, so the Jazz just need to get over 100 points to cash this bet.

- The Jazz Youth have nothing to lose here, and should play at a fast pace to keep the rockets from setting up their defense. Lots of 3pointers will be shot here by the home team, and the Rockets will match that reaction.

Official Play: Over 227.5

Side Bet: Fred VanFleet over 17.5 points

Hail Mary: Rockets -10