I'm going to take the Thunder on the moneyline, at this small -120 price, for these reasons:

- Thunder are the better defensive unit as we seen vs the Pelicans. Mavs struggle against aggressive defenses like we seen vs the Clippers 2 of those 6 games. The Thunder have players who can defend multiple positions.

- I think the mavs win the series, but I expect the more rested team OKC, to be firing on all cylinders in game 1, being that they have the better coach as well as the younger unit.

- Pace will be dictated by OKC , which will force Dallas to rely on their second unit, who I don't believe is better than OKCs bench unit.

- OKC are 3-1 vs the mavs during the regular season. They won't be scared of the veterans on Dallas's team.

- OKC are the better shooting team that can rely on their support players to knock down shots, while Dallas has to rely heavily on their big 2, Luka and kyrie.

Official Play: OKC Moneyline

Side Bet: Over 218

Hail Mary: Josh Giddey over 11.5 points