I'm on the Over of 205.5 in this Timberwolves @ Nuggets game 5 for these reasons:

- The biggest storyline of the 2 games in Minnesota, isn't that the Denver figured out Minnesotas defense, it's that Minnesotas defense is starting to ware down. Denver scored over 110 in both road games, and I expect them to get revenge offensively for the poor showing they had in games 1 & 2, only scoring 99 and 80 in those games.

- Only Anthony Edwards scored more than 15 points in Game 3 and 4 for Minnesota, but they still managed to score 115 and 90 in those games. We should see the team contribute more on the offensive side of the ball, especially with the comfortability they have shown, playing in Denver.

- Minnesota may need to opt in to a small ball lineup, by lowering Goberts minutes. Naz Reid is just much more dangerous offensively than Gobert. Playing Naz is going to stretch the floor for the shooters of Minnesota, which also speeds up the game.

- Denver is shooting 45% and 48% from deep at home this series. MPJ and KCP didn't have a stellar game in Minnesota but the shooter will be better at home like they usually are. It could be a loooooong game 5 that feels like even Overtime could be involved.

Official Play: Over 205.5

Side Bet: Caldwell Pope over 7.5 points

Hail Mary: Nuggets -4