I'm on the over 207.5 in game 3 of Dallas vs Minnesota, for these reasons:

- I tried to get cute and go against the grain in Game 2, thinking the Timberwolves would figure out a better defensive strategy for Luka and Kyrie. This was not the case and bot teams scored over 105 (109 - 108 Mavs win). I don't believe the defense will be BETTER for the Timberwolves on the road here in Dallas.

- KAT and Ant have been TERRIBLE shooting from the field. Kat went 4 of 16, Ant went 5 of 17, which is not going to win them the game against Luka and Kyrie who are both averaging over 23 points this series so far.

- I don't expect the Mavs to slow down at home. In fact, I expect the role players who haven't played well (PJ and Derrick Jones Jr) to do much better at home, especially PJ Washington. If the threes from The supporting cast start to pick up production, the Timberwolves are in for a world of trouble if they can't keep pace offensively. So I see the Timberwolves coming out aggressively tonight on the scoring front.

Official Play: Over 207.5

Side Bet: Derrick Jones Jr over 8.5 points

Hail Mary: Mavs Moneyline