I’m on the Phillies Runline at home vs the Marlins for these reasons:

- Tyler Phillips is the better pitcher on the mound and he’s at home be a bat hitting marlins team that is top 5 in strikeouts allowed. He’s been hit a lot on the road, but at home he averages only 5 hits per start, is undefeated at home and has an era of 2.40 in his 15 innings pitched in Philadelphia. Marlins are allowing 6 strikeouts per game to right handed pitchers on the road on average, so Tyler is looking at another win on hit record tonight.

- Edward Cabrera is on the mound for the Marlins and he’s 2-3 on the season, 2-2 on the road, but has a road era of 7.08! Phillies bat .260 against righties at home and the majority of their bats hit .249 or better vs righties overall this season. Cabrera is going to be hit early and often here, setting up a deficit that will be hard to come back from in the late innings.

Official Play: Phillies Runline -1.5

Side Bet: Phillies over 4.5 Team Runs

Hail Mary: Tyler Phillips over 4.5 Strikeouts