Im on the Falcons Moneyline in this road spot vs the Buccaneers for these reasons:

- First game for Baker without his 2 star wide receivers Godwin and Mike Evans. The 2 will be missed heavily, especially against a team like the Falcons who they carved up in Atlanta in what was a thriller mid week game in prime time weeks ago. There’s no way the receivers they currently have are good enough to carve deep yardage from the falcons who have a good defense and guys like Jessie Bates, AJ Terrell, and Dee Alford covering the field. The Buccaneers are a pass first unit, and Bucky Irving only had 40 rushing yards against them last game, and that was a high scoring competitive matchup with their starts available. Bet on the Falcons playing for the run and expecting Bakers pass catching unit to be suspect and mediocre compared to earlier this season.

- The falcons offense torched the Buccs last outing. Their cornerbacks are young and inexperienced to cover Drake London and Darnell Mooney. The safety’s Antoine Winfield Jr and Jordan Whitehead are the only threats to this falcons offense, but those players are going to be playing for the run and deep more than the middle of the field and the flats where Tight End Kyle Pitts and RB Bijan Robinson will excel in pass catching today. This is offense is lightspeed ahead of the Buccs currently but the betting line doesn’t reflect it.

- Divisional game. Both teams 4-3, Falcons trying to maintain division lead and this win could shuffle them to a permanent seat at the top since they’ve already beat them once. Everyone had the falcons winning the division from the start of the season, this game is ripe for them to cement that prediction.

Official Play: Falcons Moneyline

Side Bet: Baker Mayfield to throw an Interception

Hail Mary: Kyle Pitts over 40 receiving yards