I’m on the Chiefs -3.5 at home vs the Texans for these reasons:

- Houston’s offense has been terrible this season. The sophomore slump for CJ Shroud continues, and heading into Arrowhead isn’t going to help cure the offensive line issues, (which is why he’s one of the most sacked QBs in the league), or the bland offensive play calls that highlight downfield passes when they don’t have time to get the ball out, which causes fumbles and bad reads that lead to interceptions. This chiefs defense is opportunistic and Spagnola will have this young QB frantic.

- Dome teams in the elements don’t play the same, and it’s going to be cold in KC (I live there, and no I’m not a chiefs fan). The weather and wind here is certainly going to affect the Texans defense who already allows 20+ points per game on the road this season.

- Hollywood Brown is back and he says he feels great, so even a 60% workload from him will boost this chiefs offense, especially on downfield passes that the current WRs have missed, even DHop. Hollywood Brown is a reliable downfield receiver, who can break open a game with only 3 catches in the end of it all.

- Texans are a heavily penalized team. Especially on defense. In arrowhead, the Texans will have more penalties than the chiefs, and KC are a team that capitalize well off dumb penalties made by the opposition. They might not blow out the Texans but I see KC winning by atleast 6 points.

Official Play: Chiefs -3.5

Side Bet: Joe Mixon anytime touchdown

Hail Mary: DeAndre Hopkins over 3.5 receptions