Nottingham Forest is coming into this match with a trend to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their 4 Premier League matches this season. Their attack has been very good in these matches as they have scored at least 1 goals in each of their 4 EPL matches, scoring 2 goals in 2 of those. Their defense has not been great though as they have allowed 7 goals in their 4 matches, averaging close to 2 goals allowed per match in that span, and they have conceded at least 1 goal in 3 of those as well. This is going to be their 2nd home match of the season as well, their only home match played this year being a 2-1 win over Sheffield. They are going up against a Burnley side that has been in awful form this season with 3 straight EPL losses but they have also been trending to the over in their matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in all 3 of their EPL matches this season with all 3 of those being played at home as well. Their defense has been awful in those matches as they have allowed 11 goals in their 3 EPL matches, allowing at least 3 goals in each of those, but they have also played 3 very good teams in Man City, Tottenham, and Aston Villa in that span. This is going to be their 1st away match this season but it is also going to be the weakest opponent on their schedule so far and they will have confidence coming into this match after kicking Nottingham Forest out of the EFL Cup with a 1-0 win away from home. Burnley has also been much better on the attack recently as they have scored 3 goals in their last 2 EPL matches and they are going to be hungry for their 1st points of the season here. Burnley has been allowing a lot of goals in their matches and Nottingham Forest has been scoring a lot so they will find the net here at home, but Burnley is going to be desparate for points here and will be pushing their attack against this much weaker side they know they can beat. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals.
England Premier League: Nottingham Forest/Burnley over 2.5 goals, Rot. 200037