The Astros are coming into this game with a 46-43 record this season and they have been playing well in their recent games, but their pitching has not been very good. They have won 3 of their last 4 games, but they have also allowed at least 7 runs in 3 of their last 5 games, allowing 21 runs total in their last 2 games alone. They are going up against a Twins team that is 50-39 this season and has also been playing very well in their recent games. They have won 2 of their last 3 as well as 5 of their last 7 games and their offense has been on fire in these. They have scored at least 9 runs in each of their last 3 games, scoring at least 12 runs in 2 of those as well. Their pitching has not been bad though as they have allowed 3 runs or less in 2 of their last 3 games as well. Simeon Woods Richardson is starting for the Twins in this game and he is 3-1 with a 3.52 ERA this season. He allowed 3 earned runs in his last start and in each of his last 2 starts, but he has only allowed more than that in 1 of his last 9 starts. The Twins have also been giving him run support in his starts as they have scored at least 5 runs in each of his last 4 starts, and their offense has been on fire recently so they are going to score runs in this game as they try to win this series against the Astros. Spencer Arrighetti is starting for the Astros in this game and he is 4-7 with a 6.13 ERA this season, struggling in his rookie year. He has been very inconsistent this season as he has had some good starts and some bad starts, but recently he has been allowing more runs. He allowed 6 earned runs in his last start which was against a subpar offense in the Blue Jays, and he has allowed at least 3 earned runs in 3 of his last 4 starts as well, allowing at least 6 earned runs in 2 of those. He is not going to have it easy here against this hot Twins offense as he will give up runs, and the Twins offense has been more consistent recently as well. The Twins will win this game.