Tarik Skubal is starting for the Tigers in this game and he is 12-4 with a 2.57 ERA this season. He has been pitching very well all season, but recently he has allowed more runs in his starts as he has allowed at least 2 earned runs in 3 of his last 4 and allowed 5 earned runs in his last start alone. The Tigers have also been scoring runs for him recently as they have scored at least 7 runs in 2 of his last 3 starts, and he has also seen some very high scoring games recently as his last 4 straight as well as 5 of his last 6 starts have seen 7+ runs total. George Kirby is starting for the Mariners in this game and he is 8-7 with a 3.04 ERA this season. He has been pitching very well recently as well as all season, but he has been worse in his recent home starts as he has allowed 6 earned runs in his last 3 starts there. He has not seen many high scoring games recently as there has not been a lot of offense to support him, but the Mariners offense has been much better recently and they can score some runs in this game with Skubal starting to slip a little recently. Skubal always gets the run support in his starts though so the Tigers offense can also take advantage in this game with Kirby giving up more runs at home recently. This is a value play on the over with a low total in a game that could see some offense here.