Lens is coming into this match with no recent trend to the over in their matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in their last 3 straight matches, but that trend has been different at home. When playing at home, they have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 matches there going back to last season. They have also been in much better form there, winning 6 of those 8 matches and scoring at least 2 goals in each of them. They are going up against a Lyon side that has been trending to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their 3 matches this season, and their defense has been awful in those. They have allowed at least 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches and have allowed at least 3 goals in 2 of their last 3. They are going to have some confidence in this match though as they just got their 1st win of the season prior to the international break. They beat Strasbourg 4-3 at home in a match where their attack finally exploded. Their only away match this season was a 3-0 loss to Rennes and their defense has been so awful all season they are going to need goals in this match. Their defense will not keep out this Lens attack that has been very good at home recently, but Lyon will be pushing for goals to counter their bad defense so this match is bound to see some goals. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals.
France Ligue 1: Lens/Lyon over 2.5 goals, Rot. 203333