Man City is coming into this match with a heavy trend to the over in their recent matches, but they are coming off of a 0-0 draw in Champions League in their last match. Inter Milan did a very good job to hold Man City's attack to no goals at home, but Man City was also very good on defense as well. Man City has only kept 1 clean sheet in the Premier League this season and it came in their 1st match, but now they are coming off of another clean sheet in UCL and they are going to play more defensively here considering their opponent. Man City is also going to have a weaker attack here as they are going to be without De Bruyne who picked up an injury in their midweek match, and he is the glue that holds together this City attack so they are going to struggle heavily to break down this Arsenal defense without him. They are going up against an Arsenal side that has been trending to the under in their recent matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in all 6 of their matches this season going back to the Emirates Cup, and their defense has been great as they have only allowed 1 goal in those 6 matches. Their defense has improved a lot under Arteta and their motto has been simple this season, no one is allowed to score goals in their matches unless it is Arsenal. Their defense has given this Man City attack a lot of trouble in recent meetings as well. Their attack has not been great recently though, scoring just 2 goals in their last 3 matches, and they are coming off of a 0-0 draw in Champions League in their last match as well. These two have gone under 2.5 goals in their last 3 straight meetings with each other and Man City has failed to score in the last 2 as well. Man City will struggle to score on this Arsenal defense without De Bruyne, but Arsenal is not going to break down this Man City defense easily either. This is going to be a low scoring and defensive match that stays under 2.5 goals.
England Premier League: Manchester City/Arsenal under 2.5 goals, Rot. 200198