Girona is coming into this match with a slight trend to the over in their league matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 league matches and their defense has not been great in these. They have allowed at least 2 goals in each of their last 2 as well as 3 of their last 5 league matches, and they have allowed 6 goals in their last 2 matches alone. Their attack has not been good recently as they have not scored a goal in their last 2 matches and only have 1 goal in their last 3, but they have also lost their last 3 straight matches, including a match in Champions League, so they are going to be pushing for points here at home. When playing at home, they have only played 2 matches there this season and both went over 2.5 goals, beating Osasuna 4-0 and losing to Barcelona 4-1. They are going up against a Rayo Vallecano side that has been trending to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 as well as 4 of their 6 matches this season. They have also seen both teams score a goal in their last 4 straight as well as 5 of their 6 matches this season. When playing away from home, they have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3 matches as well. Rayo Vallecano has been in good form recently as they have no losses in their last 2 and they are coming off of a draw against Atletico Madrid so they are going to have confidence coming into this match, scoring 4 goals in their last 2 matches now, but they have also struggled to keep opponents out of their net this year and they are going to struggle here. Girona has lost 3 straight so they are going to be pushing for goals here as they need the 3 points, and they have scored in both of their home matches so far. Rayo Vallecano will not be able to keep their attack out here as their defense has not been good, but they have also been very consistent with their attack and are bound to find the net on this Girona defense that has not been keeping teams out either. Even when these two meet, they have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 6 straight as well as 8 of their last 9 meetings. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals.
Spain La Liga: Girona/Rayo Vallecano over 2.5 goals, Rot. 201861