Parma is coming into this match playing with a trend to the over in their recent matches. They have gone over 2.5 goals in their last 4 straight matches and their attack has been on fire in these. They have scored at least 2 goals in each of their last 2 as well as 3 of their last 4 matches, but their defense has not been good as they have also allowed at least 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches. They are going up against a Cagliari side that has not been trending to the over in their recent matches and their attack has been very weak, scoring just 1 goal in their 5 matches this season. Their attack has been bad but they are going to have some confidence in this match as they are coming off of a 1-0 win in Coppa Italia, and they are going to be pushing for points here as they will view this is a winnable match against a newly promoted side. They will have an easier time finding the net on this Parma defense, but Parma has been scoring a lot of goals recently and Cagliari has not been good on defense themselves. Between these two sides, there will be enough goals in this match to push it over 2.5 goals.
Italy Serie A: Parma/Cagliari over 2.5 goals, Rot. 201241