West Virginia is coming into this game with a 4-4 record this season and they are 3-2 in the conference. They are coming off of a win against Arizona in their last game, but they have lost 2 of their last 3 games and their defense has not been good in these. Both of their losses in that span were by 12+ points and their defense has allowed 26+ points in all 3 of those games as well. They are 3-2 in the Big 12 this season, but all 3 of their conference wins have come against the 3 worst teams in the conference, Arizona, Kansas, and Oklahoma State who have a combined record of 2-15 in Big 12 play this season. They are going up against a Cincinnati team that is 5-3 this season and they are 3-2 in the conference. They have played a much tougher schedule this season as their 3 wins in the conference came against Houston, UCF, and Arizona State, 2 of those 3 teams being .500 or better in the Big 12, and they also have a close 1 point loss against Pittsburgh earlier this season who is 7-1 on the season. Cincinnati is coming off of a loss on the road against Colorado in their last game, but they are coming off of their bye week so they are going to be well rested and hungry to bounce back. They have won 2 of their last 3 games as well and their defense has been great in these, allowing 14 points or less in 2 of those 3 games. They have also been better at home as they are 3-1 there, their only loss coming by 1 point against Pittsburgh, and they have won their last 2 straight games at home, only allowing 14 points total between those 2 games. Both of these teams run the ball very well, but Cincinnati has the much better defense overall, averaging over 7 points less allowed per game, and their defense will be the difference in this game at home. Cincinnati will cover the spread in this game.