The Senators are coming into this game with a 35-25-5 record this season and they have been playing well in their recent games. They have won their last 5 straight as well as 6 of their last 7 games, but they have not beaten any quality teams in that span. Their only game against a good team in that span was their only loss, losing 5-4 to the Capitals. They have also played much better at home this season. They have won their last 2 games on the road against the Flyers and the Blackhawks, but those are 2 of the worst teams in the Eastern Conference and prior to those 2 road wins, they had lost 4 straight games on the road, struggling to score goals in those games while also allowing a lot more. They are going up against a Leafs team that is 39-23-3 record this season and they have not been playing well in their recent games. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and their defense has been awful, but they also played 3 of their last 4 games on the road. They are coming off of a 3-2 loss at home against the Panthers in their last game, their 1st game back from their road trip, but they are going to be hungry to bounce back after a close game which they played well in. This is a great spot for the Leafs to bounce back at home with the Sens winning 5 straight games as the Leafs also lost both meetings with the Sens this season, so the Leafs are going to be hungry to bounce back here and get their revenge on the Senators. The Leafs will win this game at home.