UMass are at home in this game and will get the win and cover against a Dusquene team that is still struggling on the road and are making mistakes and playing loose with their defense. They are not connecting with their shots at the charity stripe and UMass's defense will protect the rim well and force the Dukes to take their shots outside the arc. The are good at forcing turnovers as well and they will take advantage of the Dukes sloppy play while not giving up rebounds to this team.
Take the home team.

Duquesne are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Duquesne are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against UMass. Duquesne are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against UMass. UMass are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games. UMass are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home.
UMass are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Duquesne. Duquesne is 5-17 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 3 seasons. The Dukes are 1-4 ATS this season after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread.

Best bet: lay the number with UMass.