Cincinnati come back home after taking down a good BYU team in Provo to host the Longhorns for the first time. This team is just starting to crank it up and they may be too much offensively for Texas at home in this spot as they are 10-0 at home in their last ten games. This team has only two losses on the road. This is a long trip for Texas and the first time they are playing in Cincinnati. The Bearcats are a physical team and will beat Texas in the paint as this team is too strong. They don't give up the ball and are efficient on offense and defense and with the home crowd behind them, should win and cover this game.

Texas are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games. Texas are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road. Cincinnati are 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games played on a Tuesday when playing at home. Cincinnati are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home. Texas is 1-8 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season. Texas is 3-11 ATS after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Best bet: lay the points with Cincinnati.