Cleveland have won five in a row and they are an underdog at home to the Bucks who aren't covering the spread well this season. Cleveland are 5-1 ATS this season as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and look to win their sixth straight home game before going back on the road. The Cavaliers are on a back to back with no travel, and they should play the Bucs tough in this revenge divisional spot, so look for them to at least make this game a closer one as they have the better defense. Milwaukee are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games. Milwaukee are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against Cleveland. Milwaukee are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games on the road. Milwaukee are 16-23-1 ATS on the season.

The league stat is to play on home teams like Cleveland in this spot, after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games against an opponent after scoring 130 points or more, pans out 80.6% of the time or 29-7 SU over the last five seasons. Cleveland are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Cleveland is 58-33 ATS in home games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1996. Cleveland is 33-17 ATS in home games after leading their last 2 games by 10+ points at the half since 1996. The Bucs are 8-14 ATS this season as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Bucs are 3-8 ATS this season versus division opponents. The Bucs are 0-3 ATS this season off a close home win by 3 points or less.

Best bet: take the points with Cleveland.