This is another game that should go over the total. These two pitchers don't have the best numbers to start. Baltimore should be able to get runs off of Marsh who didn't have a winning season last year finishing 3-9 with an ERA well over 5. He didn't pitch against Baltimore last season so this will be his debut this season, and the Orioles could have a field day against him. He has terrible numbers pitching against left handed batters, and half of the O's lineup are left handed. On the flip side, the Royals have played well against left handed pitchers in the past and could get some runs off of Irvin as well as he only saw the Royals once last season and did okay against them but also finished the season 1-4 and an ERA of 4.42. Not the two best pitchers on the plate today so this game should open up and go over the total.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road. The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games against Kansas City.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home. Alec Marsh is 4-1 to the Over in the last three seasons when the total is 8.5 to 10. Alec Marsh is 3-0 to the over in the last three seasons as a road underdog of +150 to +200.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.