With Luka Doncic compromised in this series with injuries, the Thunder should be able to grab a second win at home. The Thunder have played their best at home and their role players and bench players should step up in this spot to secure another win. Oklahoma City is 19-8 against the spread in a home game where the total is 210 to 219.5 over the last 3 seasons. Oklahoma City is 14-6 against the spread after covering 4 of their last 5 against the spread this season. Dallas is a good road team, but with Doncic' injury, it's not clear how effective he will be in this second game as the team tries to change their strategy. They are getting beaten on rebounds, giving up the ball, and getting outplayed. The Mavericks defense looked awful in game 1 as well. Dallas as the underdog in this game are 5-9 against the spread this season as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. OKC after a very defensive game this season, is 19-6 against the spread in the last three seasons after allowing 95 points or less. If it’s two consecutive games in a row of allowing 95 points or less, then the Thunder are 4-0 against the spread this season. OKC has depth, athleticism and youth on their side and in game 1, they didn't turn over the ball much, especially in their last four games, and they have many players that can shoot offensively from the bench too. They play as a cohesive unit and pass the ball when necessary to make the play and have depth and layers. OKC is 6-0 against the spread this season and 16-6 against the spread in the last three seasons, after 4 straight games committing 4 plus less turnovers than opponents. The edge goes to the home team again who will take advantage of an unhealthy Doncic, as the Mavericks get outplayed again and fall behind.

Best bet: lay the points with Oklahoma City.