Ashcroft on the road for the Reds does a little better, but he gave up three earned runs in his last game against the Diamondbacks, and the offense for the Reds just isn’t there to back him up. Cincinnati has lost his last three starts and they are in a bad losing streak. The Reds got crushed in their last three series, and now they play the Diamondbacks again. Arizona just swept Cincinnati on the road and now they are at home with Montgomery on the mound again. He did get the win last week against the Reds, while Ashcroft got the loss against them. The game was close so expect another close and lower scoring game and the total to stay under. Arizona has played six of their last nine games under the total against Cincinnati.

Best bet: take Under the Total.