Washington is 2-0 against the spread this season, 4-0 against the spread in the last three seasons, and are 8-0 against the spread in their last eight games as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points. Washington is coming into this game having won four of their last six games. The Aces have so much offensive firepower that they could blow out the Mystics, however, they are on the road and this game is an early start so the Mystics will keep this game closer than what the spread indicates. Washington is 4-2 against the spread this season versus Western conference opponents as well. Washington took a very good defensive minded Sun team to overtime, only losing by 3 points. They are off a loss to a division rival and are 4-0 against the spread this season and 9-2 against the spread in the last three seasons when off that loss. After a small loss of six points or less, the Mystics are 5-1 against the spread this season. The Mystics don’t have a lot of star talent like the Aces but they have enough defensive talent to check some of the Aces offense, despite some of the injuries they are battling. Edwards is listed as probable as well and will be available for this game and that should help Washington offensively. In their last six games they have shown improvement, they rank 4th in offensive rating, 3rd in defensive rating, and are making the second most 3’s in the league in those last six games. The Mystics aren't as bad as their record indicates and are getting better as the season goes along. The Aces struggle with defense in spots, especially in defending the perimeter and give up the second most threes in the league, allowing opponents to convert these threes at one of the highest rates in the league, namely, 38%. The Aces are 2-4 against the spread on the season as double-digit favorites. Las Vegas beat the Mystics in their last game by 9 points, not quite double digits, and are 1-5 against the spread in its last 6 games when playing Washington. The Mystics are 11-7 against the spread as an underdog in their last 18 games and are 5-0 against the spread in its last 5 games at home. The Mystics are 12-6 against the spread at home in their last 18 games, so this team is covering in the majority of their games in that spot. Head to head, the Mystics have covered six of their last ten games against each other.

Best bet: take the points with Washington.