New Mexico State lost a lot of production, some to Vanderbilt, along with Jerry Kill.They are a shell of their former self and will be outplayed in this game by a good Fresno State who are favored at home. The Bulldogs looked good when they played Michigan in Week 1 and should be battle tested in this game. This game is a mismatch in talent and the value lies with the home team.

Best bet: lay the points with Fresno State.